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PFR Home Page > About > The P-F-R Win Probability Model Welcome  · Your Account Logout Login Create Account Surf AD-FREE About Main Page The P-F-R Win Probability Model Winston’s Equations The roots of our win probability model lie in the theory put forth in chapters 43 and 45 of Wayne Winston’s book Mathletics. (game standard deviation of margin) / sqrt(fraction of game that n minutes is)” Using the 13.45 standard deviation we derived earlier, that formula is as follows for NFL games: Taco Bell Breakfast Coupons

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